Recent Blogs




German IP up for seventh successive month, while French IP falls

Chris Scicluna
  • Following yesterday's comments flagging the concerns of Japan's authorities about FX developments, the yen weakened briefly through 104/$, the weakest in 3 weeks.
  • Japan’s consumption data paint mixed picture for November, but Q4 on track for robust growth; Cabinet Office leading index rises to near 2-year high in November.
  • German IP up for seventh successive month with imports outpacing exports.
  • Despite ongoing growth in manufacturing, French IP falls due to drop in energy output.

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US Democrats are confirmed to have gained control of the Senate

Chris Scicluna
  • Japan’s labour cash earnings slump far more than expected as pandemic leads to sharp decline in bonuses and continues to weigh on overtime work.
  • German factory orders beat expectations with seventh successive monthly rise in November; euro area inflation, retail sales and sentiment indicators still to come.
  • Aussie dwelling approvals rise, while trade surplus narrows on import rebound.

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Japan’s services PMI revised up, but consumer confidence falls

Chris Scicluna
  • Japan’s services PMI revised up, but consumer confidence falls to a 4-month low.
  • China’s Caixin services PMI comes off the boil in December.
  • French inflation surprises on the downside but consumer confidence leaps.
  • Australian services PMI revised down in December.

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German retail sales defy downbeat expectations

Chris Scicluna
  • German retail sales defy downbeat expectations with further strong growth in November.
  • Japan’s vehicle sales rise in December but mark worst year since 2011; monetary base growth at 27-month high.
  • Australian job ads rise to a 18-month high in December.
  • Kiwi house prices record largest quarterly increase since 2004.

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Worsening spread of Covid-19 in Europe to result in extension of restrictions

Chris Scicluna
  • Japan’s manufacturing PMI revised up to 50.0 in December, best since April 2019.
  • China’s Caixin manufacturing PMI falls to 3-month low in December.
  • Australian manufacturing PMI strong in December.

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