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The week ahead, w/c 19 November 2018

Mantas Vanagas
  • Ahead of the EU summit at the end of the week, UK politics remain in focus – Tory MPs are likely to trigger a vote of no confidence in May’s leadership, but she is likely to survive such a move.

Morning comment: UK politics remain in focus

Mantas Vanagas
Emily Nicol
  • Despite the resignations from the UK Cabinet yesterday, PM May is determined to press ahead with her deal. But while it will likely be signed off by EU leaders later this month, the deal seems unlikely to be  supported in UK parliament.

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Morning comment: Brexit in focus

Mantas Vanagas
Emily Nicol
  • The UK Cabinet approved the UK’s Brexit deal with the EU.

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Morning comment: Japan, euro area & German GDP, UK & US CPI and Brexit

Emily Nicol
Mantas Vanagas
  • Asian markets had a mixed performance overnight, while Italian yields have risen significantly after the government provided no amendments to its budgetary plan. Brexit news will continue to flow today, while Japan and German GDP confirmed a contraction in Q3.  

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Morning comment: Italian deficit and UK labour market

Mantas Vanagas
Emily Nicol
  • BTP spread over Bunds continued to widen this morning ahead of today’s deadline for the Italian government to submit its updated fiscal plans to the European Commission. The data flow from the major economies brings only the UK labour market figures.

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