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UK GDP to have slowed in Q4

Emily Nicol
Chris Scicluna
  • As the latest NAB business survey suggested little change to Australian business conditions at the start of the year, the flash estimate of UK Q4 GDP is set to confirm a marked slowdown in the economy at the end of last as Brexit and political uncertainty continued to weigh.

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Chinese inflation surged in January

Emily Nicol
Chris Scicluna
  • Asian equity markets largely ignored a steep rise in China’s inflation in January, which rose to its highest since 2011. And despite increasing concerns about the extent of the hit to Japanese growth from the coronavirus, the latest economy watchers survey suggested a further improvement in economic conditions at the start of the year.

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A weak end to 2019 for Japanese spending, German & French IP

Emily Nicol
Chris Scicluna
  • Japan’s household spending unexpectedly declined in December, concluding a particularly weak quarter for consumption after October’s tax hike. A slump in German and French IP implied that the euro area’s manufacturing sector ended last year on a soft note.

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German factory orders disappoint

Emily Nicol
Chris Scicluna
  • While recent surveys had suggested that Germany’s manufacturing sector was showing signs of stabilisation, December’s factory orders data were disappointingly soft and pointed to a weak IP showing at the end of last year.

RBA Governor signals reluctance to ease further

Emily Nicol
Chris Scicluna
  • RBA Governor Lowe today flagged worries that additional cuts might exacerbate the current strong upswing in Aussie house prices, adding to expectations that the bank is now on hold for a lengthy period. Meanwhile, after the Japanese final services PMI reported a sizeable downwards revision, focus turns to the equivalent European releases, US non-manufacturing ISM and ADP report.  

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