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    Daiwa’s research coverage of the euro area and UK economies.

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    Daiwa’s coverage of the US economy from our colleagues in New York

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2024

2023

  • US Data Review

    US Data Review

    23 February 2023 158 KB PDF
    • Revised GDP: modest downward adjustment, led by softer consumer spending
    • Price indexes: faster inflation than previously reported
  • Euro Wrap-up

    Euro Wrap-up

    23 February 2023 668 KB PDF
    • Despite an upwards revision to the January estimates of euro area inflation, Bunds made gains as ECB dove Panetta judged that the risks to the inflation outlook are now more balanced and thus justify smaller rate hikes.
    • Despite typically hawkish commentary from MPC external member Mann, Gilts saw a mix of modest gains and losses as a UK survey offered a gloomy assessment of the outlook for retailers.  
  • US FOMC Review

    US FOMC Review

    22 February 2023 114 KB PDF
    • FOMC minutes: officials encouraged by recent developments, but still hawkish
  • Euro wrap-up

    Euro wrap-up

    21 February 2023 312 KB PDF
    • Bunds made significant losses as the flash euro area PMIs beat expectations suggesting a rebound in economic activity.
    • Despite a weak CBI industrial survey, Gilts made even more substantive losses as the flash UK also surprised significantly on the upside.
  • Euro Wrap-up

    Euro Wrap-up

    17 February 2023 301 KB PDF
    • Bunds reversed initial losses as hawkish commentary from ECB’s Schnabel was followed by cautions from BoF Governor Villeroy that recent market-implied interest expectations had been excessively volatile.  
    • Gilts made losses as UK retail sales beat expectations in January, albeit maintaining a downwards trend as households purchasing power continued to be eroded.
  • US Economic Comment

    US Economic Comment

    17 February 2023 303 KB PDF
    • Consumer prices: numerous “transitory” changes; still-brisk underlying pace
    • Will slow money growth tame inflation?
  • US Data Review

    US Data Review

    16 February 2023 226 KB PDF
    • Housing starts: drops in both multi and single-family activity
    • Producer prices: broad-based pressure
  • Euro wrap-up

    Euro wrap-up

    15 February 2023 303 KB PDF
    • Bunds followed USTs lower despite today’s data confirming the further retrenchment in euro area energy-intensive manufacturing production, as well as a slump in goods exports at the end of 2022.
    • Gilts made sizeable gains as UK inflation surprised on the downside at the start of 2023, with core inflation down to the lowest rate since June.