London & NY Research

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    Daiwa Europe’s market-leading research on the Japanese economy.

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    Daiwa’s research coverage of the euro area and UK economies.

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    Daiwa’s coverage of the US economy from our colleagues in New York

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2021

2020

  • US Data Review

    US Data Review

    22 November 2021 153 KB PDF
    • Existing home sales: recovering.
  • Euro Wrap-up

    Euro Wrap-up

    19 November 2021 583 KB PDF
    • Despite another big upside surprise in the German producer price inflation, Bunds rallied after Germany and Austria tightened lockdown restrictions in the face of sharply rising coronavirus cases.
    • Gilts also made significant gains despite a return to growth in retail sales and a rise in consumer confidence, while BoE Chief Economist Pill stated that he was still undecided about how he will vote at next month’s MPC.
  • US Economic Comment

    US Economic Comment

    19 November 2021 291 KB PDF
    • Inflation expectations: stirring, but not surging.
    • Biden fiscal policy: restrictive, stimulative, or neutral?

     

  • US Data Review

    US Data Review

    17 November 2021 151 KB PDF
    • Housing starts: single-family continues to soften; multi-family remains firm.
  • Euro Wrap-up

    Euro Wrap-up

    17 November 2021 450 KB PDF
    • While comments from ECB Board member Schnabel were more hawkish than of late, Bunds were little changed today as euro area CPI inflation was unrevised matching the euro-era high, but core inflation was a touch softer.
    • Gilts made gains despite a significant upside surprise to UK inflation, with headline and core CPI rates rising to their highest in a decade.
  • US Data Review

    US Data Review

    16 November 2021 234 KB PDF
    • Retail sales: higher prices played a role, but gains in real terms as well
    • Industrial production: a rebound from hurricane effects and firm underlying activity
  • Euro wrap-up

    Euro wrap-up

    16 November 2021 412 KB PDF
    • Bunds made gains despite confirmation of a pickup in German and euro area job growth in Q3.
    • Despite a moderation in UK pay growth, Gilts made losses as payrolls and job vacancies continued to rise after the end of the furlough scheme.
  • Euro Wrap-up

    Euro Wrap-up

    15 November 2021 490 KB PDF
    • Despite the re-imposition of pandemic restrictions in certain member states, and while ECB President Lagarde said that the conditions for an ECB rate hike were “very unlikely” to be in place in 2022, Bunds made losses while the euro area trade surplus narrowed again.  
    • Gilts also made losses as BoE Governor Bailey said he was “very uneasy” about inflation, the UK labour market looks “tight” and that every MPC meeting is now “in play” for a change in rates.