-
12 October 2023
289 KB
PDF
- Bunds followed USTs lower even as the account of the Governing Council’s September policy meeting suggested that the ECB tightening cycle is now highly likely to be at an end.
- While UK GDP data for August met expectations to be consistent with stagnation in Q3, and surveys reported a continued tightening of credit conditions and weakening in the housing market, Gilts also made losses.
Share
-
11 October 2023
269 KB
PDF
- While an ECB survey reported a pickup in household inflation expectations, Bunds made gains at the longer end of the curve as the Middle East conflict intensified and final German inflation data for September confirmed a significant and broad-based easing of price pressures.
- Gilts outperformed as a survey suggested that UK wage pressures are moderating.
Share
-
11 October 2023
196 KB
PDF
- FOMC: September minutes indicated that restrictive policy will be required for some time
- That said, comments by Fed officials this week suggest that recent developments could eliminate the need for additional rate hikes at upcoming meetings
Share
-
9 October 2023
257 KB
PDF
- Bunds rallied as risk appetite fell following the attacks by Hamas on Israel, and German industrial production fell for a fourth successive month.
- Gilts also made significant gains on a quiet day for UK economic news.
Share
-
6 October 2023
303 KB
PDF
- Longer-dated Bunds followed USTs lower as German factory orders beat expectations.
- Gilts also made losses on a quiet end to the week for UK economic news.
Share
-
6 October 2023
513 KB
PDF
- Employment: strong payroll growth in September, albeit with caveats
- Labor market data keep open the prospect of a hike at the Oct/Nov FOMC meeting
- Wages: hints of moderation
Share
-
5 October 2023
291 KB
PDF
- Bunds made gains as data for German goods trade, and French and Spanish IP, as well as a euro area construction sector survey, were all consistent with weak economic momentum.
- Despite some hints of stickiness in business price and wage expectations, Gilts also made gains as the UK construction PMIs suggested a sudden significant deterioration in conditions in the sector.
Share
-
4 October 2023
310 KB
PDF
- Bunds made gains as euro area retail sales volumes fell further than expected in August and the region’s final services PMIs for September remained consistent with contraction in Q3.
- Gilts also largely made gains despite a sizeable upwards revision to the UK services PMI for September.
Share