London & NY Research

  • JAPAN

    Daiwa Europe’s market-leading research on the Japanese economy.

  • EUROPE

    Daiwa’s research coverage of the euro area and UK economies.

  • US

    Daiwa’s coverage of the US economy from our colleagues in New York

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2024

2023

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  • Euro Wrap-up

    Euro Wrap-up

    19 April 2023 519 KB PDF
    • Bunds made losses while the rise in euro area core inflation in March was confirmed and data also suggested that construction activity provided a boost to euro area GDP in Q1.
    • Gilts made much bigger losses as, contrary to expectations, UK CPI inflation remained in double-digits and core inflation failed to fall.
  • Euro Wrap-up

    Euro Wrap-up

    18 April 2023 265 KB PDF
    • Shorter-dated Bunds made modest gains even as the German ZEW survey suggested that investors were more downbeat regarding the outlook.
    • Despite a rise in the UK unemployment rate, and further declines in inactivity and vacancies, Gilts made losses as pay growth exceeded expectations.
  • US Data Review

    US Data Review

    18 April 2023 157 KB PDF
    • Housing starts: multi-family building eased but remained elevated; single-family activity rose modestly
  • US Economic Comment

    US Economic Comment

    14 April 2023 341 KB PDF
    • CPI: hints of moderation, but still insufficient to meet price stability mandate
    • Inflation data, and comments by Fed officials, suggest no near-term pivot
    • Friday data: retail sales & industrial production ease
  • Euro Wrap-up

    Euro Wrap-up

    13 April 2023 651 KB PDF
    • Gilts were little changed, while UK GDP failed to grow in February as strikes hit public services and factory output remained subdued.
    • Bunds were also little changed as a Reuters report suggested that ECB policymakers are “converging” on a 25bps rate hike in May while euro area IP data for February beat expectations and the rise in German core inflation in March was confirmed.
  • US FOMC Review

    US FOMC Review

    13 April 2023 114 KB PDF
    • FOMC minutes: officials focused on “unacceptably high” inflation
    • Officials agreed that the banking sector remained sound... but recent developments introduced a high degree of uncertainty into the outlook
  • US Data Review

    US Data Review

    12 April 2023 160 KB PDF
    • CPI: energy prices down; food prices flat; hints of moderation in underlying inflation
  • Euro wrap-up

    Euro wrap-up

    11 April 2023 427 KB PDF
    • While euro area retail sales extended their downtrend and a survey suggested that investors remain pessimistic about the outlook, Bunds made losses as they played catch-up with the post-payrolls moves in USTs.
    • Gilts also made significant losses despite another subdued survey of UK retail sales, while the Chancellor nominated a replacement for the MPC’s uber-dove.