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2024

2023

  • Daiwa's View

    Daiwa's View

    5 October 2023 331 KB PDF
    • How new economic measures may impact JGB issuance
  • Daiwa's View

    Daiwa's View

    4 October 2023 607 KB PDF
    • Sensitivity of JGB yields to US yields
    • Levels depend on short-term yield trends
  • Daiwa's View

    Daiwa's View

    3 October 2023 853 KB PDF
    • Ongoing rise in US Treasury yields led by term premium
    • As long as a sense of caution about intervention in USD/JPY rate lingers, we cannot feel relieved that it is peaking out
  • Daiwa's View

    Daiwa's View

    2 October 2023 552 KB PDF
    • US yields: Clearing up misinterpretation of current situation, pessimism about future
    • Current US yield levels viewed as appropriate (short-term perspective)
    • Attractive investment opportunities from real policy rate path (longterm perspective)
    • Corporate bond yields suggest only limited additional upside for UST yields
  • Daiwa's View

    Daiwa's View

    28 September 2023 760 KB PDF
    • Issues on the liability side due to ongoing reduction in Fed’s balance sheet
    • Burden on financial system caused by expansionary fiscal policy
  • Daiwa's View

    Daiwa's View

    26 September 2023 680 KB PDF
    • High crude oil price contributing to yen, euro depreciation
    • Watch for higher crude oil price, further currency depreciation over short term
  • Daiwa's View

    Daiwa's View

    26 September 2023 826 KB PDF
    • Sep MPM: Dampens the idea that decisions have already been made
    • A reminder that the BOJ manages policy untied to specific events, including Shunto
  • Daiwa's View

    Daiwa's View

    25 September 2023 1090 KB PDF
    • US yield outlook (revised on 22 Sep 2023)
    • Assume US 10-year yield range centering on 3~5% (need to look at wider than usual range)
    • Gradually approaching point where balancing “near-term upward yield bias” and “subsequent yield declining bias (fat downward shift)” necessary