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UK GDP beats expectations at start of 2022

Chris Scicluna
Emily Nicol
  • Japanese data flag weakness of household spending and deterioration in overall business conditions at the start of the year
  • After the ECB’s policy announcements suggested the hawks have the upper hand for now, EU leaders failed to agree yesterday evening how to reduce dependence on Russian natural gas.
  • The rise in German inflation in February, due largely to higher prices of energy and food, was confirmed this morning.

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ECB to note marked deterioration in outlook for inflation and growth

Chris Scicluna
Emily Nicol
  • Beyond events in Ukraine, the ECB’s policy announcement is key for European markets today.
  • The main data event today is the US CPI report for February, with another sizeable increase in prices on the month set to push the annual headline rate closer to 8%.
  • Japanese PPI beats expectations, rising to 40-year high.
  • UK surveys signal ongoing significant tightness of labour and residential property markets.

 

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German industrial production surges in January

Chris Scicluna
Emily Nicol
  • Japanese economy watchers remain downbeat about current conditions.
  • UK retail sales survey points to ongoing growth in February.
  • Small business sentiment and external trade the data focus today in the US.

 

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BoJ consumption activity index points to sharp decline in spending on services

Chris Scicluna
Emily Nicol
  • ECB policy announcements the main economic event from the major economies this week.
  • US CPI inflation data (Thursday) set to highlight continued broad-based price pressures.
  • German factory orders were stronger at the start of the year, and survey data this week will give an indication of euro area investor sentiment since the Russian invasion.
  • UK GDP data for January due at the end of the week.

 

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Japan's unemployment rises

Chris Scicluna
Emily Nicol
  • Japanese unemployment rose at the start of the year as the latest wave of pandemic saw a sharp drop in the number of people in employment.
  • German trade flows weaker but French IP rebounds at the start of the year.
  • UK car registrations to remain subdued.
  • US labour market report the data highlight today.

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